IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#223
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.8	#233
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.3	#189

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#261

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.8%	4.1%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.9	14.9

.500 or above	39.0%	41.7%	15.5%
.500 or above in Conference	42.4%	44.3%	25.1%
Conference Champion	4.4%	4.7%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	12.4%	11.3%	21.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	3.8%	4.0%	1.6%
Second Round	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 4	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	345	Alcorn St.	W	76-63	90%
Nov 11, 2019	61	@ Texas A&M	L	64-79	8%
Nov 14, 2019	48	@ Mississippi St.	L	65-81	7%
Nov 26, 2019	347	Northwestern St.	W	78-64	89%
Dec 10, 2019	269	Grambling St.	W	76-70	68%
Dec 14, 2019	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	W	72-71	53%
Dec 19, 2019	220	Arkansas Little Rock	W	75-72	60%
Dec 21, 2019	271	Arkansas St.	W	77-71	69%
Dec 28, 2019	56	@ Butler	L	63-79	9%
Jan 02, 2020	297	Troy	W	75-68	73%
Jan 04, 2020	138	South Alabama	L	70-72	45%
Jan 06, 2020	172	@ Coastal Carolina	L	72-78	32%
Jan 09, 2020	122	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-84	22%
Jan 11, 2020	162	@ Georgia St.	L	71-77	30%
Jan 16, 2020	156	Texas St.	L	67-68	47%
Jan 18, 2020	135	Texas Arlington	L	69-71	43%
Jan 25, 2020	202	@ Louisiana	L	76-80	37%
Jan 30, 2020	156	@ Texas St.	L	64-71	29%
Feb 01, 2020	135	@ Texas Arlington	L	66-74	26%
Feb 06, 2020	122	Georgia Southern	L	78-81	39%
Feb 08, 2020	162	Georgia St.	L	74-75	49%
Feb 13, 2020	297	@ Troy	W	72-71	55%
Feb 15, 2020	138	@ South Alabama	L	67-75	27%
Feb 19, 2020	271	@ Arkansas St.	L	73-74	49%
Feb 22, 2020	202	Louisiana	W	79-77	57%
Feb 27, 2020	220	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	72-75	40%
Mar 03, 2020	212	Appalachian St.	W	79-76	58%
Projected Record						12 - 15	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.2	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0		4.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0				5.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	1.7	2.6	1.6	0.3	0.0						6.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.1	3.1	1.6	0.3	0.0							7.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.2	4.0	1.8	0.3	0.0								8.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	2.2	0.3	0.0									9.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0										9.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.0	4.6	2.8	0.5	0.0											10.1	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	2.0	4.6	2.7	0.6	0.0												10.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.7	2.5	3.8	2.6	0.6	0.0													10.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	3.3	2.0	0.4	0.0														10.0	11th
12th	0.2	0.8	1.6	2.2	1.9	0.9	0.2	0.0															7.8	12th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.8	3.5	5.5	7.1	8.3	9.9	10.3	10.2	9.7	9.1	7.2	5.9	4.2	2.8	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	97.7%	0.4		0.4	0.0
17-3	89.2%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
16-4	66.2%	1.2		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	35.8%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	11.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.5	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		74.6%	52.1%	22.5%	9.2					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0		47.1%
19-1	0.2%		61.1%	54.0%	7.1%	11.7								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		15.4%
18-2	0.4%		43.7%	41.2%	2.5%	12.3											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.2		4.3%
17-3	1.0%		35.0%	34.3%	0.8%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6		1.2%
16-4	1.8%		27.6%	27.6%		13.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.3
15-5	2.8%		24.9%	24.9%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	2.1
14-6	4.2%		14.8%	14.8%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	3.6
13-7	5.9%		8.3%	8.3%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	5.4
12-8	7.2%		4.7%	4.7%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	6.8
11-9	9.1%		2.6%	2.6%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	8.8
10-10	9.7%		1.5%	1.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.6
9-11	10.2%		0.7%	0.7%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.2
8-12	10.3%		0.3%	0.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
7-13	9.9%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5																0.0	0.0	9.9
6-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
5-15	7.1%																							7.1
4-16	5.5%																							5.5
3-17	3.5%																							3.5
2-18	1.8%																							1.8
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.8%	3.8%	0.0%	14.0					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.0	0.4	96.2		0.0%